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• 09:09 New Popular

  Predictive Analytics in Life Insurance - How to Get Real Res...

  by RGA Added 4 days ago 0 81 Views

  There are several pitfalls to avoid in predictive modeling. One common mistake, “overfitting,” yields optimistic model results that will not replicate. In this webcast, RGA’s Rosmery Cruz describes what causes overfitting, and suggests s

• 30:23 New Popular

  The Future of Mortality

  by Ulm-University_ifa Added 4 days ago 0 215 Views

  A variety of mortality models can be used to project future mortality. However, the parameters of most of these models lack a clear demographic interpretation. Hence, it may be hard to identify forecasts which are not consistent to the most recent observe

• 45:56 New Popular

  It Takes Two: Why Mortality Trend Modeling is more than mode...

  by Ulm-University_ifa Added 4 days ago 0 40 Views

  Matthias Börger, Jochen Russ, Johannes Schupp Abstract: Increasing life expectancy and thus decreasing mortality rates constitute a global trend that can be observed in almost all countries worldwide. Estimating the current rate at which mortality ra

• 33:47 New Popular

  Return Smoothing and Risk Sharing Elements in Life Insurance...

  by Ulm-University_ifa Added 4 days ago 0 27 Views

  Jochen Ruß a, Stefan Schelling b, * a Institute for Finance and Actuarial Sciences, Lise-Meitner-Strasse 14, 89081 Ulm, Germany and Ulm University, Institute of Insurance Science, Helmholtzstrasse 20, 89081 Ulm, Germany b Ulm University, Institute o

• 32:09 Popular

  Global R&D Mortality Trends Update

  by AAE Added 1 week ago 0 47 Views

  Slowing population mortality improvement trends have been evident in many countries in recent years, making forecasting mortality improvements in the short-term more difficult for actuaries. In this webcast, Peter Banthorpe presents a summary of this phen

• 33:12 Popular

  Economic value of a french life savings contract in Euros

  by AAE Added 1 week ago 0 23 Views

  Applying a Mark-to-Market approach to evaluate the fair value of the insurer's commitment (best-estimate) for a saving French contract in €, implies having the prices of options and guarantees of insurance policies. Since this informatio

• 23:31 Popular

  Using Reinsurance to Control Profit & Loss Volatility

  by AAE Added 1 week ago 0 29 Views

  Using Reinsurance to Control P&L Volatility (presented at GIRO 2018 on 24 October 2018 / slot A1). I start with a rudimentary refresher re: the P&L and Balance Sheet statements of an insurer. A general reinsurance solution is found, then tailored

• 24:43 Popular

  Pricing Multiline Aggregate Excess of Loss with Dependence

  by AAE Added 1 week ago 0 31 Views

  A multiline aggregate reinsurance contract is a popular reinsurance cover that can be adjusted to the needs of an insurance company. The last decade has seen many European cedants considering and opting for this non-traditional reinsurance cover in order

• 23:06 Popular

  Modelling Motor Insurance Fraud Using Machine Learning

  by AAE Added 1 week ago 0 51 Views

  This paper focuses on the use of Big Data Analytics to detect motor insurance fraud. Fraud Management is inevitable to insurance companies as this informs the level of risk covered which in turn affects the premiums being charged. Over the years, the effe

• 28:25 Popular

  New Capital Management Solutions under a Moving Regulatory F...

  by AAE Added 1 week ago 0 21 Views

  The European life insurance industry must adapt in order to survive a stagnant economic environment characterized by low interest rates and a volatile sovereign risk. New regulatory changes under Solvency 2 and IFRS 17 combined with new disruptive technol

• 24:06 Popular

  Pro-cyclical mortality modelling based on macroeconomic fact...

  by AAE Added 1 week ago 0 16 Views

  There has been significant use of stochastic mortality models that aim at estimating and forecasting mortality rates based on past trends. The vast use of these extrapolative methods has seen extension of various stochastic mortality models to include spe

• 32:33 Popular

  Reinsurance treaties analysis using NLP: methods and innovat...

  by AAE Added 1 week ago 0 31 Views

  The use of unstructured data in (re)insurance has become a central topic with the arrival of new statistical practices related to data science. Today, we have many examples that prove there is a growing interest in gathering and exploiting these data: opt

• 30:13 Popular

  MRM and the Actuarial Function in the Insurance Industry

  by AAE Added 1 week ago 0 13 Views

• 1:02:23 Popular

  Neuronale Netze – Was Aktuare schon lange wissen und noch ...

  by actuview Added 3 weeks ago 4 361 Views

  "Neuronale Netze – Was Aktuare schon lange wissen und noch wissen sollten“ Prof. Dr. Ralf Korn (TU Kaiserslautern), afterwards: Discussion with Prof. Korn and Daniela Rode (Ausschuss Krankenversicherung), lead by Dr. Guido Bader (DAV)

• 37:10 Popular

  The global longevity risk transfer market

  by actuview Added 3 weeks ago 0 103 Views

  The global longevity risk transfer market Prof. Dr. David Blake (Pension Institute London)

• 39:29 Popular

  Mortality models for Multiple Populations

  by actuview Added 3 weeks ago 0 78 Views

  Mortality models for Multiple Populations Torsten Kleinow (Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh)

• 58:16 Popular

  Panel: Altersvorsorge in Deutschland: Zwischen staatlicher V...

  by actuview Added 3 weeks ago 1 175 Views

  Panel discussion „Altersvorsorge in Deutschland: Zwischen staatlicher Vollkasko und mehr Eigenverantwortung“ Moderator: Philipp Krohn (FAZ), Panelists: Matthias Birkwald (Dt. Bundestag), Prof. Eckart Bomsdorf (Uni Köln), Vanessa Niemann (

• 35:55 Popular

  Pricing von Cyber-Versicherungsverträgen in einem Netzwerkm...

  by actuview Added 3 weeks ago 1 104 Views

  Pricing von Cyber-Versicherungsverträgen in einem Netzwerkmodell Kerstin Weske (University of Hannover)

• 34:49 Popular

  Resilienz und Generationengerechtigkeit in kollektiven Beitr...

  by actuview Added 3 weeks ago 0 104 Views

  Resilienz und Generationengerechtigkeit in kollektiven Beitragszusagen Prof. Dr. Oskar Goecke (TH Köln)

• 52:20 Popular

  Wie schütze ich mein Unternehmen richtig gegen Cyber-Attack...

  by actuview Added 3 weeks ago 0 123 Views

  "Wie schütze ich mein Unternehmen richtig gegen Cyber-Attacken?“ (in German language) Dirk Backofen (T-Systems)

• 26:15 Popular

  A Neural Network Extension of the Lee-Carter Model to Multip...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 2 184 Views

  The Lee-Carter model is a fundamental approach to forecasting mortality rates of a single population. Although extensions of the model to forecasting rates for multiple populations have recently been proposed, the structure of these extended models is har

• 36:50 Popular

  Impaired Lives Insurability: Dawn of a new era

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 87 Views

  In the last decade or two we have witnessed a bifurcation in the market for longevity risks as specialist insurers have started to distinguish between impaired lives and others. The distinction has given rise to impaired lives’ annuity terms that ar

• 14:48 Popular

  A Fuzzy Least Squares Estimation of a Hybrid log-Poisson Reg...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 98 Views

  In this article, We prove the reliability of hybrid models in loss reserving, especially when the data contain fuzziness for example when the claims are related to body injures [34]. We estimate a hybrid log-linear model (log-Poisson) using the fuzzy leas

• 41:25 Popular

  Risk Alchemy and Liquidity Management

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 1 54 Views

  The aim of the presentation is to consider the role of capital management in the value creation process of insurance companies. As a first step, the various interpretations of capital (from the economic, investor and actuarial perspectives), and related c

• 26:16 Popular

  A Quantile Mixing Approach for the Combination of Experts' M...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 33 Views

  In this article, we provide theoretical justifications for the use of convex combinations of quantile functions in order to combine experts' (or softwares) models. We assume that the experts' estimates are given in the form of two probability measures &mu

• 18:53 Popular

  The Importance of Internal Actuarial Governance

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 77 Views

  The requirement for a good internal actuarial Governance Structure is becoming increasingly pertinent and relevant, not only in Africa, but also internationally. The presentation's key theme revolves around a well known aviation case study, which shows ho

• 25:37 Popular

  The Actuary’s Duty to the Public Interest

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 35 Views

  The IAA’s PG1 Principles of Professionalism contains a provision that members should act in the public interest. This is replicated in the Code of Professional Conduct of the Actuarial Society of South Africa, which is the primary normative standard

• 24:14 Popular

  Multivariate claim frequencies modelling in P&C insurance us...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 39 Views

  Actuarial risk classification is usually performed at a guarantee and policyholder level: For each policyholder, the claim frequencies corresponding to each guarantee are modelled in isolation, without accounting for the correlation between the different

• 1:29:07 Popular

  Addressing nutrition, climate change and developing economie...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 47 Views

• 27:32 Popular

  Automating Reserving for optimal model selection.

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 98 Views

  There are a wide range of Reserving methods out there, but due to time constraints and prior preferences, actuaries very often confine themselves to a single or minimal number of methods in their work. As certain trends very often invalidate the underlyin

• 26:51 Popular

  The actuarial (r)evolution

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 1 95 Views

• 24:52 Popular

  Predictive analytics of insurance claims using multivariate ...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 34 Views

  I will present the results obtained by Working Party "Automated cars and insurance". This Working Party is directed by Sara Landini, Kyriaki Nousia and Przemyslaw Klusik and it is joint cowork of ASTIN and AIDA. The topics are following: identification of

• 1:15:48 Popular

  Making our voice heard: A more prominent role for the Actuar...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 34 Views

  Actuaries find themselves more and more often playing roles that fall on the edge of or outside of our traditional ambit. Hence the actuary'srole as thought leader becomes more critical. Nowhere is this more important than in the realm of public policy, w

• 42:40 Popular

  Pre-funding of Healthcare Benefits After Retirement

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 44 Views

  While current demographic and economic changes have implications for both pension and healthcare schemes, addressing financial sustainability of health care systems entails a somewhat distinctive approach. Throughout this paper we will propose a framework

• 36:45 Popular

  Professionalism Case studies presented by the ASSA PMB - “...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 41 Views

  The Actuarial Society of South Africa has implemented a new outcomes-based Continuing Professional Development process. Based on survey results just out, members feel overwhelmingly that it is a useful exercise that adds real value. In this session, Actua

• 41:07 Popular

  Impact of improved lifestyle on management of chronic diseas...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 159 Views

  A joint presentation by a health care actuary at one of South Africa's leading managed care companies, Medscheme, and a high profile scientist, clinician, professor, sportsman and acclaimed author, Prof Tim Noakes. The low-carbohydrate, high-fat diet, oft

• 1:13:45 Popular

  ASTIN Workshop - Pricing Part 2

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 45 Views

  Addressed topics: - Data- Rate Adequacy- Model Design- Case Study

• 38:44 Popular

  Scenario Testing for Flatrated Fleets during the yearly pric...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 79 Views

  The envisaged presentation (in the area of flatrated fleets) will start from the calculation of the (actuarially correct) technical premium and will then deal with the commercial premium which is directly derived from the former one and subsequently adjus

• 39:14 Popular

  Professionalism case studies presented by the ASSA PMB - “...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 61 Views

  “Brandon Does Diffraction” The Actuarial Society of South Africa has implemented a new outcomes-based Continuing Professional Development process. Based on survey results just out, members feel overwhelmingly that it is a useful exercise that

• 22:04 Popular

  Is the pension system relevant to the migration decision? A ...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 30 Views

• 35:50 Popular

  Projecting Longevity and Mortality Using Stochastic Models

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 44 Views

  Longevity risk can be described primarily as a "Tail Risk" for negative cash flows that occur years into the future after the original investment is exhausted. The setting of assumptions for future longevity requires a new approach that recognizes and qua

• 39:42 Popular

  A Stochastic Investment Model for South African Use

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 25 Views

  The need for stochastic modelling is on the rise globally in the pension, life insurance and investment industries due to both an increase in regulation and a natural requirement for stochastic analysis in modelling exercises. Research in the area of stoc

• 1:17:53 Popular

  The culture and purpose of The Modern Actuary

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 130 Views

• 34:55 Popular

  Practical Issues in Applying IFRS 17 in Developing Countries

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 2 194 Views

  This presentation outlines some of the significant additional challenges in adopting IFRS 17 faced by insurers operating in developing countries as compared to those in developed countries. These challenges include setting discount rates in the absence of

• 32:55 Popular

  African Economic Basis Survey

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 22 Views

  The Holy Grail of objective valuation of assets and liabilities promised over recent decades remains lost for many operating in geographies without complete, deep and liquid markets. The maturity of financial and insurance markets varies across Africa, bu

• 22:52 Popular

  Desirable structure of DC Governance in Japan

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 24 Views

• 42:46 Popular

  Health Insurance across Africa: Not for the faint of heart

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 24 Views

  Health insurance is growing in prominence in Africa as more international insurers enter the various markets to compete with the existing local insurers. This talk will provide high level insight to the current situation, from the challenges of navigating

• 29:56 Popular

  Estimation of foreseeable and unforeseeable risks in motor i...

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 16 Views

  This project works with the risk model introduced by Li et al.(2015) and quests modelling, estimating and pricing insurance for risks brought in by innovative technologies, or some other emerging risks. The model considers together two different risks str

• 54:00 Popular

  United Nations Sustainable Development Goals

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 88 Views

  Actuaries making a difference on the global stage: this workshop will explore how actuaries are using their business and problem solving skills to contribute to the UN’s 17 global goals for sustainable development. We will look at examples from acro

• 17:44 Popular

  The Actuary at the Kraal

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 35 Views

  It is time for the actuary and the insurance industry to review and redefine the strategies employed to enabling access to the uninsured markets in South Africa. With the client being the core of the strategy and we must start engaging with our communitie

• 22:19 Popular

  The Journey Through the Line

  by actuview Added 1 month ago 0 15 Views

  The rapid convergence of the skilled human with the intelligent machine is changing business models and transforming the playing field at breathtaking speed. It is no longer a question of “what if” but rather one of “so how”. It is