Categories
- ACTUARIAL DATA SCIENCE
- AFIR / ERM / RISK
- ASTIN / NON-LIFE
- BANKING / FINANCE
- CORONA SPECIAL
- DIVERSITY & INCLUSION
- EDUCATION
- HEALTH
- IACA / CONSULTING
- LIFE
- PENSIONS
- PROFESSIONALISM
- MISC
(Hansjörg Albrecher) - Welcome, Overview of the European Actuarial Journal and its Mission
(Christian Furrer) - In this talk, I clarify potential deficiencies of classic credibility theory for group health and disability insurance. I suggest an empirical Bayes and multivariate frailty approach to experience rating in multi-state models. Careful analyses of the structure of the likelihood leads to certain simple benchmark models. A numerical example using simulated data illustrates the pros and cons of the suggested approach. Finally, I briefly discuss extension to dependent group e↵ects. Throughout the focus is on the disability model; general results may be found in Furrer (2019).
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