Media Sounding the alarm without sounding like an alarmist: epidemiological modelling in early days of a pandemic

Sounding the alarm without sounding like an alarmist: epidemiological modelling in early days of a pandemic

uploaded June 14, 2021 Views: 639 Comments: 0 Marked favorite: 0
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I will talk about how to build an epidemiological model for an ongoing pandemic when there are many unknowns and get buy-in for the results. Modelling considerations will include:

  • basics of epidemiological modelling
  • enhancing tools available in R for COVID-19 modelling
  • incorporating COVID-19 modelling into existing pandemic modelling
  • relying on data and scientific research in early weeks of a pandemic
  • capturing uncertainty in assumptions
  • generating stochastic scenarios
  • communicating results
  • understanding the politics and news cycle impact on management views
  • defining boundaries of what is known and what is not known as tool for communication.
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